Orioles vs. Red Sox Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, August 16, 2024 – Bleacher Nation

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A pair of surging power hitters meet Friday when Gunnar Henderson — with his two-game homer streak in tow — and the Baltimore Orioles (72-50) take on Wilyer Abreu (home runs in two straight) and the Boston Red Sox (63-57). The Orioles are favorites (-185) for the contest, which starts at 7:05 p.m. ET, live from Oriole Park at Camden Yards and broadcast on NESN.

Baltimore’s Corbin Burnes gets the start, and he’ll go against Boston’s Brennan Bernardino.

Orioles vs. Red Sox Odds

  • Orioles odds to win: -185
  • Red Sox odds to win: +156
  • Spread: Orioles -1.5
  • Total: 8.5 runs
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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Friday, August 16, 2024
  • Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
  • TV: NESN
  • Who Will Win Orioles vs. Red Sox?

    Orioles and Red Sox Betting Trends

    The Orioles are 58-38 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 60.4% of those games).

    Baltimore has a record of 12-6 when it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -185 or shorter (66.7% winning percentage).

    The Red Sox have entered the game as underdogs 61 times this season and won 29, or 47.5%, of those games.

    Boston has played as an underdog of +156 or more twice this season and lost both games.

    In the 121 games in which bookmakers have set an over/under for the Orioles, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 67 times (67-44-10).

    The Red Sox and their opponents have hit the over in 63 of their 120 games with a total this season.

    Orioles Stats & Insights

    The Orioles have the No. 3 offense in MLB play scoring five runs per game (615 total runs).

    The Baltimore Orioles have hit an MLB-leading 188 home runs, averaging 1.5 per game.

    The Orioles have the sixth-best batting average in the league (.256).

    Baltimore’s 8.2 strikeouts per game rank 13th in MLB.

    The pitching staff for the Orioles has a collective 8.5 K/9, which ranks 17th in the majors.

    Baltimore’s 3.89 team ERA ranks 12th among all MLB pitching staffs.

    Red Sox Stats & Insights

    The Red Sox have scored 595 runs this season, which ranks fifth in MLB.

    Boston ranks seventh in Major League Baseball with 149 home runs.

    The Red Sox rank second in MLB with a .261 team batting average.

    Boston ranks just 28th in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 9.7 whiffs per contest.

    The Red Sox have an 8.5 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, which ranks 17th in the majors.

    Boston has the 18th-ranked ERA (4.14) in the majors this season.

    Orioles Key Players to Watch

    Burnes (12-4) gets the starting nod for the Orioles in his 25th start of the season. He has a 2.71 ERA in 149 2/3 innings pitched, with 137 strikeouts.

    Henderson leads Baltimore with a batting average of .289. He’s also hit 31 home runs with 73 RBI.

    Anthony Santander leads Baltimore in home runs with 36 and runs batted in with 80.

    Adley Rutschman has collected 117 base hits, an OBP of .332 and a slugging percentage of .424 this season.

    Ryan O’Hearn has collected 91 hits this season and has an OBP of .355. He’s slugging .451 on the year.

    Red Sox Key Players to Watch

    The Red Sox’s Bernardino will make his third start of the season.

    Jarren Duran is hitting .288 with 36 doubles, 13 triples, 14 home runs and 42 walks.

    Rafael Devers has hit 25 home runs with 72 RBI while batting .296. Those stats are all team-highs.

    Ceddanne Rafaela is hitting .265 with 16 doubles, four triples, 13 home runs and 15 walks.

    Abreu is batting .271 with 24 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 30 walks.

    Orioles and Red Sox Injuries

    Orioles: Jordan Westburg: 10 Day IL (Hand), Heston Kjerstad: 10 Day IL (Concussion), Jacob Webb: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Grayson Rodriguez: 15 Day IL (Lat), Jorge Mateo: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Danny Coulombe: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Tyler Wells: 60 Day IL (Elbow), John Means: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Kyle Bradish: 60 Day IL (Ucl sprain), Felix Bautista: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

    Red Sox: Tyler O’Neill: 10 Day IL (Leg), Cam Booser: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Justin Slaten: 15 Day IL (Elbow), James Paxton: 15 Day IL (Leg), Lucas Giolito: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Chris Murphy: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Liam Hendriks: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Bryan Mata: 60 Day IL (Hamstring), Garrett Whitlock: 60 Day IL (Oblique), Trevor Story: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Nick Sogard: day-to-day (Calf)

    Orioles vs. Red Sox Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Orioles 5, Red Sox 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
  • How to Bet on Orioles vs. Red Sox

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