Aug 24, 2024; Dublin, IRL; Florida State University’s DJ Uiagalelei looks to hand off the ball against Georgia Tech at Aviva Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Tom Maher/INPHO via USA TODAY Sports
- Boston College vs Florida State wraps up the Week 1 college football slate on Monday, Sep. 2
- The Seminoles are massive home favorites against the Eagles
- See the Boston College vs Florida State predictions, picks, and best odds for Monday’s game at Doak Campbell Stadium in Tallahassee
After running through the regular season undefeated last year, the much-changed Florida State Seminoles (13-1, 7-0 home, 8-6 ATS in 2023) are already behind the eight-ball so to speak in 2024 thanks to a 24-21 setback to Georgia Tech in Ireland in Week 0.
On Monday, the Noles will look to notch their first win of the season as they face the Boston College Eagles (7-6, 3-2 away, 5-8 ATS) in their home-opener.
Despite the Week 0 setback, oddsmakers aren’t really shying away from FSU. The Seminoles are 16.5-point home favorites on Monday night and as short as -820 on the moneyline.
Boston College vs Florida State Prediction & Picks
- Boston College +16.5 (-108) at DraftKings Sportsbook
- Over 49.5 (-110) at FanDuel Sportsbook
Anyone expecting FSU to “run it back”, so to speak, may have to severely adjust their expectations. Not only is star QB Jordan Travis now in the NFL, the Noles lost 42% of their overall production from 2023, including 44% on offense and 40% on defense. Even in a league where turnover is rampant, they ranked near the bottom of the nation in terms of returning production (83rd out of 134 teams, according to ESPN).
Playing for his third team in three seasons, senior QB DJ Uiagalelei was thoroughly underwhelming against Georgia Tech, his first start with the Noles. Uiagalelei was 19-of-27 for 193 yards, no touchdowns, and no interceptions against the Yellow Jackets in Dublin, a game FSU lost on a last-second field goal as 10.5-point favorites.
It’s hard to say that the Seminoles deserved better. They were outgained 336-291 and only had one penalty called against them in the game. They were overpowered at the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball, generating just 3.2 yards per carry while allowing Georgia Tech to pick up 5.3 YPC.
Coming off a 7-6 season, Boston College didn’t play in Week 0 but does return starting QB Thomas Castellanos along with 67% of its overall production from 2023, which was a huge step up from its 3-9 campaign in 2022.
The Eagles almost got the better of FSU at home last season, falling 31-29 in Week 3, despite finishing the game with over 100 more total yards than the Noles. Penalties were the difference with BC committing an atrocious 18 penalties for 131 yards, compared to just five (for 45 yards) by FSU. A missed extra point and a failed two-point conversion proved the difference.
Florida State is being wildly overvalued here. BC is a solid team that’s likely to be active in bowl season again, while the Seminoles are still working out the kinks from a massive amount of roster turnover. I am intrigued by the Boston College moneyline at +550, but will stick with the Eagles +16.5 along with over 49.5.
Best Boston College vs Florida State Odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boston College Eagles | +16.5 (-108) at DraftKings | +550 at ‘FanDuel | Over 49.5 (-110) at FanDuel |
| Florida State Seminoles | -16.0 (-110) Caesars | -675 at DraftKings | Under 50 (-110) at bet365 |
As the last game of the week, the public has had ample time to bet these lines across the books. As such, there isn’t a ton of variation in the odds available, but there is some. Bettors looking to wager on BC against the spread can currently find the best odds at DraftKings, where the Eagles are getting 16.5 points with -108 odds. Florida State ATS bettors can get the Seminoles at -16 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook.
Counter-intuitively, DraftKings actually has the longest price on the FSU moneyline at -675, while FanDuel has the best odds on a Boston College straight-up victory at +550.
The vast majority of sportsbooks have the game total at 50.0, but FanDuel has moved it down to 49.5 with -110 odds both ways.
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Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.