May 11, 2024; Cleveland, Ohio, USA; Boston Celtics guard Jrue Holiday (4) rebounds against Cleveland Cavaliers guard Donovan Mitchell (45) and forward Isaac Okoro (35) in the first quarter of game three of the second round of the 2024 NBA playoffs at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse. Mandatory Credit: David Richard-USA TODAY Sports
- The Boston Celtics can take a commanding 3-1 series lead on the Cleveland Cavaliers on Monday, May 13
- The Celtics are a perfect 3-0 on the road in the postseason, while the Cavs are 4-1 at home
- See the Game 4 Boston Celtics vs Cleveland Cavaliers odds, predictions, and player props
For the second straight series, the top-seeded Boston Celtics (70-20, 30-14 away, 48-38-4 ATS) put in an abysmal performance in Game 2 but responded with aplomb in Game 3, this time crushing the Cleveland Cavaliers (53-39, 30-16 home, 42-48-2 ATS) by a score of 106-93 on the road.
Now leading the best-of-seven series 2-1, Boston can take a 3-1 stranglehold on the Cavaliers in Game 4 on Monday night at Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse (7:10 pm ET). The Celtics vs Cavaliers odds heavily favor Boston improving to 4-0 on the road in the postseason.
Boston Celtics vs Cleveland Cavaliers Game 4 Odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Celtics | -8.5 (-110) | -340 | O 207 (-110) |
| Cleveland Cavaliers | +8.5 (-110) | +270 | U 207 (-110) |
Monday’s NBA odds list Boston as an 8.5-point road favorite and -340 on the moneyline, which equates to a 77.27% implied win probability. The Cavs, who suffered their first home loss of the playoffs on Saturday, come back as +270 underdogs to even the series at two games apiece, which carries a 27.03% implied win probability.
The game total is just 207, the lowest of the series so far. Game 1 (215 total points) went over its total of 211.5, while Game 2 (212 points) stayed under by half a point and Game 3 (199 points) stayed under by 12 points.
Odds as of May 13 at Fanatics. Claim this Fanatics Sportsbook promo code to bet on Cavs vs Celtics Game 2 on Thursday.
The Celtics are now as short as -140 in the NBA championship odds, well ahead of second-favorite and reigning-champion Denver (+320). No other team is shorter than +700.
Celtics vs Cavaliers Game 4 Betting Splits
The NBA public betting splits for Game 4 are fairly evenly split, at least when it comes to the spread and moneyline. Boston is getting slightly more action on both fronts, attracting 56% of ATS handle and 58% of the moneyline handle. Note, however, that Cleveland is getting 42% of moneyline handle on just 9% of the wagers, meaning the bets on Cleveland to win straight up are considerably larger.
The public has a strong stance on the total, with 93% of over/under handle (and 93% of wagers) on over 207 as of 9:54 am ET.
The public had a rough regular season (572-611-43 ATS) but is 36-26-2 ATS in the playoffs.
Tatum Dominates Game 3 for Celtics
For the first time this postseason, Jayson Tatum (26.9 PPG, 8.1 RPG, 4.9 APG) scored 30-plus points in Game 3 on Saturday, dropping a game-high 33 (tied with Donovan Mitchell) along with a game-high 13 rebounds and six assists, though he shot just 11-of-25 from the field and 2-of-8 from beyond the arc.
As a team, Boston shot 51.2% from the field while limiting the Cavaliers to just 42.9%. The C’s also dominated the glass, finishing +9 on the boards (44 to 35).
Mitchell was the only Cleveland player with more than 17 points in Game 3. Power forward Dean Wade (5.4 PPG, 4.0 RPG) played his first game since March 8, picking up five points, three rebounds, and three assists in 17 minutes. He was a team-best +10 while on the court.
Boston vs Cleveland Game 4 Injury Reports
There is more bad news for the Cavs when it comes to the Game 4 injury reports. While Wade is back in action, Jarrett Allen (ribs) remains “questionable” and there are no indications the Cleveland center is going to play. He hasn’t seen a minute of action since Game 4 against Orlando on April 27.
Donovan Mitchell also landed on the injury report with a calf issue, officially listed as questionable.
On the Boston side, center Kristaps Porzingis remains out with a calf injury of his own. His backup, Luke Kornet, is probable with “right calf tightness”.
BOS vs CLE Player Props for Game 4
| Player | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Three-Pointers Made |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Horford (BOS) | 8.5 (Ov -108 | Un -112) | 7.5 (Ov -108 | Un -112) | 3.5 (Ov +130 | Un -155) | 1.5 (Ov -120 | Un -100) |
| Darius Garland (CLE) | 15.5 (Ov -105 | Un -115) | 3.5 (Ov +130 | Un -155) | 5.5 (Ov +102 | Un -122) | 1.5 (Ov -185 | Un +154) |
| Derrick White (BOS) | 15.5 (Ov -118 | Un -102) | 4.5 (Ov +142 | Un -170) | 4.5 (Ov +105 | Un -125) | 2.5 (Ov -142 | Un +120) |
| Donovan Mitchell (CLE) | 30.5 (Ov -108 | Un -112) | 5.5 (Ov +124 | Un -148) | 4.5 (Ov -135 | Un +114) | 3.5 (Ov -148 | Un +124) |
| Evan Mobley (CLE) | 15.5 (Ov +102 | Un -122) | 10.5 (Ov -102 | Un -118) | 2.5 (Ov +102 | Un -122) | 0.5 (Ov +160 | Un -192) |
| Jaylen Brown (BOS) | 24.5 (Ov -100 | Un -120) | 6.5 (Ov -108 | Un -112) | 2.5 (Ov -148 | Un +124) | 1.5 (Ov -170 | Un +142) |
| Jayson Tatum (BOS) | 28.5 (Ov +105 | Un -125) | 9.5 (Ov -125 | Un +105) | 5.5 (Ov +120 | Un -142) | 2.5 (Ov -118 | Un -102) |
| Jrue Holiday (BOS) | 12.5 (Ov -105 | Un -115) | 5.5 (Ov +124 | Un -148) | 4.5 (Ov +114 | Un -135) | 1.5 (Ov -142 | Un +120) |
| Max Strus (CLE) | 9.5 (Ov -110 | Un -110) | 4.5 (Ov +110 | Un -130) | 2.5 (Ov -100 | Un -120) | 1.5 (Ov -166 | Un +140) |
| Payton Pritchard (BOS) | 7.5 (Ov +102 | Un -122) | 2.5 (Ov -148 | Un +124) | 2.5 (Ov -135 | Un +114) | 1.5 (Ov +145 | Un -180) |
NBA player props from DraftKings on May 13, 2024.
Mitchell is listed with the highest point total for Game 4 at 30.5, while Tatum’s has been upped a point compared to Game 3 to 28.5. Evan Mobley, who collected just eight rebounds in Game 3, has the highest rebound total at 10.5. Mobley is averaging 10.0 RPG in the postseason and stayed under 10.5 in six of ten games so far.
Boston Celtics vs Cleveland Cavaliers Game 4 Predictions
Seeing Mitchell on the injury report is the absolute last thing the Cavaliers can afford. Cleveland’s secondary scorers have been horrendous throughout the postseason. Darius Garland, who averaged 18.0 PPG in the regular season, is scoring just 14.7 PPG; Caris LeVert is down from 14.0 PPG to 9.2; and Max Strus has declined from 12.2 PPG to 8.7.
Realistically, though, this is a do-or-die game for the Cavs, who can ill-afford to fall behind 3-1 with the series heading back to Boston. Bettors can expect Mitchell to be on the court, and if Game 3 was any indication, he’ll be effective.
Cleveland was a perfect 4-0 at home against Orlando in the first round, going 3-1 against the spread. I expect a better result in front of their home crowd on Monday night.
BOS vs CLE Game 4 picks:
- Cavaliers +8.5 (-110)
- Mitchell over 30.5 (-108)
Sascha was a hockey player in his youth, a lawyer in his capricious mid-20s, and has been with SBD since 2014. He specializes in football, basketball, politics, baseball, and hockey.